n the article, the researchers presented findings from a study in which participants were given a choice about a life and death scenario.
In the hypothetical scenario, a fatal virus was headed to the U.S. — and it was expected to kill 600 people. The good news was that there were two treatments available. The bad news? Well, a potentially fatal disease was on the way.
Given the stakes, how did the researchers frame the different treatment options? The first treatment was framed around saving 200 lives whereas the second treatment was framed around a 1/3 probability that 600 people would be saved along with a 2/3 probability that everyone will perish.
Which outcome do you prefer?
Author: R Jade Bunke, Martech.org
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来自谷歌翻译:
在这篇文章中,研究人员展示了一项研究的结果,在该研究中,参与者可以选择生死场景。
在假设的情况下,一种致命的病毒正在前往美国——预计会导致 600 人死亡。 好消息是有两种治疗方法可用。 坏消息? 好吧,一种潜在的致命疾病正在发生。
鉴于利害关系,研究人员如何制定不同的治疗方案? 第一次治疗的方案是拯救 200 人的生命,而第二次治疗的方案是大约 1/3 的概率可以拯救 600 人,以及 2/3 的概率每个人都会死亡。
你更喜欢哪个结果?
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我选了第一个选项,因为这会让我觉得更具确定性,而且不那么费劲的思考。那么我想来讨论一下,为什么这两种说法其实是一致的,而更多的人选择了第一种 |